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Governor’s race still undecided, but compromise or stalemate seems the future in Topeka

TOPEKA — Kansas Republicans suffered a major loss of legislative power in Tuesday's election, surrendering their 16-year supermajority in the...

TOPEKA — Kansas Republicans suffered a major loss of legislative power in Tuesday’s election, surrendering their 16-year supermajority in the Kansas House while retaining enough seats in both chambers to control the legislative agenda and potentially thwart the priorities of Democratic gubernatorial candidate Cindy Holscher.

Unofficial election results showed Democrats gaining 20 House seats, reducing the Republican majority from 88–37 to 68–57. Republicans still hold a commanding majority in the Kansas Senate, where their 31 seats give them more than the 27 necessary to override a governor’s veto.

Cindy Holscher/Campaign Facebook

Holscher held a narrow lead over Republican Senate President Ty Masterson early Wednesday, although the governor’s race remained too close to call.

If Holscher wins, the new political arrangement would leave her with considerably greater veto power than outgoing Democratic Gov. Laura Kelly enjoyed during much of her eight-year administration. However, Republicans would still control both chambers and possess the votes necessary to block legislation, spending proposals and policy initiatives opposed by their leadership.

Holscher’s campaign priorities include Medicaid expansion, increased public school funding, property tax relief and legalization of recreational marijuana. Each would require legislative cooperation, and Republican leaders have opposed several of those proposals for years.

The House losses also mean Republicans will no longer have the 84 votes necessary to override a gubernatorial veto or approve a proposed constitutional amendment without Democratic support.

The Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee called the election a major victory after Democrats won all 10 House races the organization targeted.

The election also dealt a blow to Republican House leadership. Among those defeated were House Majority Leader Chris Croft and committee chairmen Sean Tarwater, Bob Lewis, Tom Kessler and Bill Sutton.

Tarwater trailed Democratic challenger Sara Kiewiet by just 41 votes in the 27th District, a margin requiring a close-race audit. Republican Rep. David Buehler led Democrat Mika Stilwell by only 67 votes in the 40th District.

But the practical value of the Republican supermajority has been mixed during Kelly’s administration. Although Republicans possessed enough seats to override vetoes in both chambers, they repeatedly failed to produce the necessary votes when members of their own party broke ranks.

In 2024, Republicans failed to override Kelly’s veto of a roughly $1.5 billion tax-cut package. The House voted overwhelmingly for the override, 104–15, but the Senate fell one vote short with a 26–14 tally after three Republicans joined Democrats. Disagreements within Republican ranks also complicated efforts to impose new property tax restrictions during the 2026 session.

Ty Masterson/Campaign Facebook

Nevertheless, the supermajority was far from powerless. Republicans overrode 14 of Kelly’s full-bill vetoes in 2025 alone, along with numerous budget line-item vetoes. Those overrides included legislation restricting gender-transition medical treatment for minors, changing election laws and establishing a framework for future income tax reductions. In 2026, lawmakers again used their supermajorities to override Kelly on several significant measures, including participation in a federal school scholarship program and creation of a food assistance fraud detection unit.

Republican numerical superiority did not always translate into legislative success, but it frequently allowed lawmakers to enact policies Kelly opposed.

The new makeup of the legislatures means Republicans need only 63 House votes and 21 Senate votes to pass ordinary legislation, assuming all members vote. Their projected 68 House seats would leave them in control of leadership positions, committee assignments, budget development and which bills receive consideration. But those majorities will exist in shadow shadow of Holscher’s veto threat, likely meaning either stalemate or compromise.

Kelly repeatedly sought Medicaid expansion during her administration, but Republican legislative leaders blocked the proposals before they reached her desk. Holscher could encounter the same resistance. The new numbers give Democrats enough House seats to protect a Democratic governor’s vetoes and block constitutional amendments, but Republicans retain enough legislative strength to prevent much of a Democratic governor’s agenda from becoming law.

As of Wednesday morning Holscher led Masterson by some 5,000 votes with neither candidate declaring victory or conceding until advance and provisional ballots are counted across the state.